Students of behavioral finance must have had a field day this past week. In the wake of a month of dismal economic reports, Wall Street got its risk on with a few better than expected reports on manufacturing sentiment, home sales, and employment. Hopium, it appears, is a powerful drug.

As Canadians sparred over fake lakes, budget-busting security, and the global capitalist conspiracy, the world’s twenty most influential leaders convened in Toronto this past June to negotiate a response to the worst financial crisis in generations. At issue was an age old debate between two economic philosophies: stimulus as a life vest versus stimulus as a straitjacket. The pro-life camp was championed by consumerist America and its global supply chain. The pro-restraint camp was led by conservative Germany and its regional demand chain. At risk were millions of jobs, trillions in debt, and quite possibly the fate of our modern political economy.

Few economists now doubt that private household spending and corporate investment will rescue the economy on their own. The debate now lies in the scale and scope of the government’s intervention, as the only institution with the access to capital, macroeconomic scope, and investment horizon needed to jump-start the labor market, keep production cycles from seizing up, and create the necessary conditions for manageable lending and spending to resume.

A visual schematic of America’s stimulus dollars at work, as proposed under the recently approved House bill…

The frightening this about this table isn’t lavish CEO pay after record bank losses, nor the 9-figure scale of the payouts, but just how closely the bailout money matches the total bonus pool in almost every case. Granted, base compensation in investment banking is nearly equivalent to the minimum wage, but there are a lot of people – roughly 3.6 million in America alone – that would jump at the chance to make $150,000 for 90 hour work-weeks, if only they could…

Assuming that our lot in life is simply a function of hard work, acquired skills, and a bit of good luck, the only real difference between liberals and conservatives is the degree to which we believe that those who fall on hard times – for whatever reason beyond their control – deserve a helping hand. How we publicly spend on that assistance is not only a question of socio-political philosophy, but also a matter of practical statecraft. Whether “leveling the playing field” or simply “setting the rules of the game”, pharohs, kings, and presidents have all made use of their regulatory oversight with varying degrees of success. This piece in the Boston Review by noted macroeconomist Dean Baker explores the …

With all eyes on traditional residential mortgages, analysts are now looking for clues in related asset classes for any signs of recessionary contagion. In his weekly review of the U.S. economy, Nouriel Roubini highlights the vulnerability of commercial mortgage back securities – which typically lag their residential cousins by 2 years – as well as plunging retail sales, a worsening inventory cycle, and the soaring fiscal deficit…

As finance ministers from around the world congregate in Washington D.C. this weekend, various “solutions” will be floated that either compliment, contradict, or completely ignore America’s best efforts to fix its broken banking system. Coordination will be critical to preventing a protracted global recession, and Paulson and Bernanke’s ambitious plan – as examined below by a pair of Senior Fellows from the Brookings Institution – will either be the first step toward rational intrabank lending, or the final nail in the coffin of deregulated financial services…

Spending taxpayers money on a massive military offensive has its own unique economic consequences, but borrowing money from abroad to finance sustained hostilities half-way around the world places the American executive in a vulnerable position vis-a-vis the international community. This moderated conversation, featuring Robert Hormats — currently Vice Chairman at Goldman Sachs International and a former Assistant Secretary of State, member of the National Security Council, and US Trade Ambassador — touches on the myriad economic and political challenges that emerge when war is funded by outsiders while policy projects from within…